Another draw today in Game 4, which doesn’t change the overall picture much at all. Carlsen is still the favorite, at 79.2% using ratings only, and 66.0% when using the adjusted model. The probable outcomes are as follows:
Again, this isn’t much of a change, but makes it more and more likely that it will be decided late in the match. And for each game that Carlsen doesn’t gain an advantage, Anand’s chances improve.
|Rating model||Adjusted model|
Tomorrow is a rest day, then it’s on again on Friday.